Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universitatea Craiova win with a probability of 39.36%. A win for Sparta Prague had a probability of 35.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Universitatea Craiova win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Sparta Prague win was 1-2 (8.12%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.