Cruzeiro
0-1
Corinthians

FT(HT: 0-1)

Depay (22')

Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Semi-Finals clash between Cruzeiro and Corinthians.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cruzeiro

Last Game: Corinthians 1-2 Cruzeiro (5-4 pen.)
Sunday, December 14 at 9pm in Copa do Brasil

Corinthians

Last Game: Corinthians 1-2 Cruzeiro (5-4 pen.)
Sunday, December 14 at 9pm in Copa do Brasil

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 51.95%. A draw had a probability of 25.95% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%) , while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (8.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
Cruzeiro	Draw	Corinthians
51.95%	25.95%	22.1%

Both teams to score 46%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.21%

56.79%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.27%

77.73%

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.06%

21.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.78%

55.22%

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.93%

41.07%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.38%

77.62%

Score Analysis

Cruzeiro 51.94%

Corinthians 22.1%

Draw 25.95%

Cruzeiro	Draw	Corinthians
1-0 @ 13.66% 2-0 @ 10.36% 2-1 @ 9.23% 3-0 @ 5.24% 3-1 @ 4.67% 3-2 @ 2.08% 4-0 @ 1.99% 4-1 @ 1.77% Other @ 2.95% Total : 51.94%	1-1 @ 12.16% 0-0 @ 9.01% 2-2 @ 4.11% Other @ 0.67% Total : 25.95%	0-1 @ 8.02% 1-2 @ 5.41% 0-2 @ 3.57% 1-3 @ 1.61% 2-3 @ 1.22% 0-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.22% Total : 22.1%