Conference League
Dec 11, 2025 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ante Majstorovic 19' yellowcard
  • Dejan Petrovic 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Daniel Adu-Adjei 55' goal
  • Dejan Petrovic 71' goal
  • Toni Fruk 78' goal
  • yellowcard Juanjo Nieto 40'
  • redcard Artemijus Tutyskinas 75'

HNK Rijeka vs Celje - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

HNK Rijeka

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Nov 27, 2025 8.00pm
Rijeka 0 - 0 Larnaca

Celje

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Nov 27, 2025 5.45pm
Olomouc 2 - 1 Celje

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 39.41%. A win for Celje had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 27.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Celje win was 0-1 (9.92%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result

HNK Rijeka 39.41%
Draw 27.13%
Celje 33.46%

Both Teams to Score: 

50.2%

Goals

Over 2.5 44.87%
Under 2.5 55.14%
Over 3.5 23.62%
Under 3.5 76.38%
Over 4.5 10.5%
Under 4.5 89.51%

HNK Rijeka Goals

Over 0.5 72.68%
Under 0.5 27.32%
Over 1.5 37.23%
Under 1.5 62.77%

Celje Goals

Over 0.5 69.06%
Under 0.5 30.94%
Over 1.5 32.76%
Under 1.5 67.24%

Score analysis

HNK Rijeka 39.41%
Draw 27.12%
Celje 33.46%
HNK Rijeka
1-0 @ 10.96%
2-1 @ 8.35%
2-0 @ 7.12%
3-1 @ 3.61%
3-0 @ 3.08%
3-2 @ 2.12%
4-1 @ 1.17%
Other @ 3%
Total : 39.41%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.86%
0-0 @ 8.45%
2-2 @ 4.9%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 27.12%
Celje
0-1 @ 9.92%
1-2 @ 7.55%
0-2 @ 5.82%
1-3 @ 2.95%
0-3 @ 2.27%
2-3 @ 1.92%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 33.46%