Copa do Brasil
Dec 11, 2025 11.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Leo Jardim 17' yellowcard
  • Rayan 50' goal
  • Pablo Vegetti 90'+4' goal
  • Pablo Vegetti 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Kevin Serna 22'

Vasco da Gama vs Fluminense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Vasco da Gama

All competitions

Fluminense

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 44.94%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 29.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 0-1 (8%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result

Vasco da Gama 44.94%
Draw 25.46%
Fluminense 29.59%

Both Teams to Score: 

53.92%

Goals

Over 2.5 50.35%
Under 2.5 49.65%
Over 3.5 28.33%
Under 3.5 71.66%
Over 4.5 13.53%
Under 4.5 86.46%

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5 77.93%
Under 0.5 22.07%
Over 1.5 44.58%
Under 1.5 55.41%

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5 69.18%
Under 0.5 30.81%
Over 1.5 32.91%
Under 1.5 67.08%

Score analysis

Vasco da Gama 44.94%
Draw 25.46%
Fluminense 29.59%
Vasco da Gama
1-0 @ 10.27%
2-1 @ 9.14%
2-0 @ 7.76%
3-1 @ 4.6%
3-0 @ 3.91%
3-2 @ 2.71%
4-1 @ 1.74%
4-0 @ 1.48%
4-2 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 44.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.09%
0-0 @ 6.8%
2-2 @ 5.38%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.46%
Fluminense
0-1 @ 8%
1-2 @ 7.12%
0-2 @ 4.71%
1-3 @ 2.79%
2-3 @ 2.11%
0-3 @ 1.85%
Other @ 3%
Total : 29.59%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Oct 20, 2025 11.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 10
May 24, 2025 10.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
  • Juan Pablo Freytes 24' yellowcard
  • Everaldo Stum 29' yellowcard
  • Fabio 29' yellowcard
  • Pablo Vegetti 42' goal
  • Guga 87' goal
  • Guga 88' yellowcard
  • goal Joao Victor 25'
  • yellowcard Mateus Carvalho 49'
  • yellowcard Luiz Gustavo Marinho Ribeiro dos Santos 54'
  • yellowcard Hugo Moura 69'
Brasileiro Gameweek 22
Aug 11, 2024 1.30am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
  • Pablo Vegetti 23' goal
  • Pablo Vegetti 23' goal
  • Victor Luis 40' yellowcard
  • Victor Luis 40' yellowcard
  • Victor Luis 65' goal
  • Victor Luis 65' goal
  • Pablo Vegetti 74' yellowcard
  • Pablo Vegetti 74' yellowcard
  • Rayan 83' yellowcard
  • Rayan 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ganso 42'
  • yellowcard Ganso 42'
  • yellowcard Mano Menezes 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Mano Menezes 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Alexsander 56'
  • yellowcard Alexsander 56'
  • yellowcard Jhon Arias 79'
  • yellowcard Jhon Arias 79'
Brasileiro Gameweek 3
Apr 20, 2024 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
  • Felipe Melo 7' yellowcard
  • Ganso 10' goal
  • Ganso 27' yellowcard
  • Martinelli 53' goal
  • Andre 66' yellowcard
  • Vinicius Lima 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pablo Galdames 27'
  • yellowcard Matheus Carvalho 27'
  • goal Pablo Vegetti 55'
  • yellowcard Pablo Vegetti 66'
  • yellowcard Hugo Moura 68'
  • yellowcard Ze Gabriel 77'
Brasileiro Gameweek 23
Sep 16, 2023 8.00pm
4
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
  • Pablo Vegetti 15' yellowcard
  • Bruno Praxedes 23' goal
  • Jose Luis Rodriguez 39' yellowcard
  • Pablo Vegetti 50' goal
  • Gabriel Pec 73' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Pec 74' goal
  • Gabriel Pec 85' goal
  • Ze Gabriel 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marlon Santos 34'
  • goal Marcelo 46'
  • goal Vinicius Lima 56'
Brasileiro Gameweek 4
May 7, 2023 1.00am
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
  • Vinicius Lima 55' goal
  • goal Pedro Raul 1'