Brasileiro
Dec 7, 2025 7.00pm
5
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Junior Alonso 18' goal
  • Hulk 32' goal
  • Dudu 49' goal
  • Dudu 69' goal
  • Victor Luis 75' goal
  • yellowcard Hugo Moura 29'
  • redcard Hugo Moura 31'

Atletico Mineiro vs Vasco da Gama - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions
Last game
Dec 4, 2025 12.30am
Atletico Mineiro 0 - 3 Palmeiras
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Rony

Vasco da Gama

All competitions
Last game
Dec 2, 2025 10.00pm
Vasco 0 - 2 Mirassol
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Pablo Vegetti

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 51.57%. A win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 25.01% and a draw had a probability of 23.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atletico Mineiro win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win was 1-2 (6.37%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result

Atletico Mineiro 51.57%
Draw 23.41%
Vasco da Gama 25.01%

Both Teams to Score: 

56.96%

Goals

Over 2.5 56.07%
Under 2.5 43.93%
Over 3.5 33.68%
Under 3.5 66.31%
Over 4.5 17.29%
Under 4.5 82.7%

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5 82.92%
Under 0.5 17.07%
Over 1.5 52.75%
Under 1.5 47.25%

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5 68.69%
Under 0.5 31.3%
Over 1.5 32.33%
Under 1.5 67.66%

Score analysis

Atletico Mineiro 51.57%
Draw 23.41%
Vasco da Gama 25.01%
Atletico Mineiro
2-1 @ 9.7%
1-0 @ 9.45%
2-0 @ 8.35%
3-1 @ 5.71%
3-0 @ 4.92%
3-2 @ 3.32%
4-1 @ 2.53%
4-0 @ 2.17%
4-2 @ 1.47%
Other @ 3.96%
Total : 51.57%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.97%
2-2 @ 5.63%
0-0 @ 5.35%
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.41%
Vasco da Gama
1-2 @ 6.37%
0-1 @ 6.21%
0-2 @ 3.6%
1-3 @ 2.47%
2-3 @ 2.18%
0-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 25.01%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Aug 10, 2025 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 37
Dec 4, 2024 10.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
  • Pablo Vegetti 30' yellowcard
  • Pablo Vegetti 52' goal
  • Philippe Coutinho 64' goal
  • Lucas Piton 77' yellowcard
  • Leandro Viana da Silva Gama 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Guilherme Arana 43'
  • yellowcard Alan Franco 54'
  • yellowcard Paulo Henrique 76'
Copa do Brasil
Oct 19, 2024 10.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Nivaldo Pereira
  • Pablo Vegetti 37' goal
  • Jose Luis Rodriguez 66' yellowcard
  • Leandro Viana da Silva Gama 79' yellowcard
  • Joao Victor 88' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Scarpa 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matheus Mendes 45'+6'
  • goal Hulk 83'
Copa do Brasil
Oct 2, 2024 11.15pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Arena MRV
  • Guilherme Arana 38' goal
  • Paulinho 44' goal
  • goal Philippe Coutinho 14'
  • yellowcard Emerson Rodriguez 31'
  • yellowcard Matheus Carvalho 42'
Brasileiro Gameweek 18
Jul 21, 2024 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Arena MRV
  • Hulk 27' goal
  • Hulk 39' goal
  • Junior Alonso 46' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hugo Moura 23'
Brasileiro Gameweek 20
Aug 20, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
  • Serginho 5' goal
  • Paulinho 44' yellowcard
  • Bruno Praxedes 54' yellowcard
  • Serginho 57' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Dias 79' yellowcard
  • Gary Medel 89' yellowcard
  • Leo Pele 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Battaglia 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Jemerson 61'
  • yellowcard Renzo Saravia 65'