Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 61.03%. A draw had a probability of 22.59% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 16.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.9%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%) , while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result
Fluminense	Draw	Bahia
61.03%	22.59%	16.38%

Both teams to score 46.46%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.64%

51.36%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.82%

73.18%

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.6%

16.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.96%

46.04%

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.57%

44.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.52%

80.48%

Score Analysis

Fluminense 61.02%

Bahia 16.38%

Draw 22.58%

Fluminense	Draw	Bahia
1-0 @ 13.17% 2-0 @ 11.9% 2-1 @ 9.66% 3-0 @ 7.18% 3-1 @ 5.82% 4-0 @ 3.25% 4-1 @ 2.63% 3-2 @ 2.36% 5-0 @ 1.17% 4-2 @ 1.07% 5-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.86% Total : 61.02%	1-1 @ 10.68% 0-0 @ 7.29% 2-2 @ 3.92% Other @ 0.7% Total : 22.58%	0-1 @ 5.91% 1-2 @ 4.33% 0-2 @ 2.4% 1-3 @ 1.17% 2-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.51% Total : 16.38%

Head to Head

Sep 10, 2025 11pm

Quarter-Finals

Fluminense

2-0

Bahia

> Preview

Aug 28, 2025 11.30pm

Quarter-Finals

Aug 10, 2025 1am

Aug 4, 2024 8pm

gameweek 21

Fluminense

1-0

Bahia

Elias Nogueira (14', 45')
Barbosa (25'), Thiago (36'), Silva (62')

de Pena (84'), Oliveira Souza (90+2')

> Preview

Apr 17, 2024 1.30am

gameweek 2

Bahia

2-1

Fluminense

Alexandre (34', 34'), Oliveira Souza (61', 61')
Alexandre (20'), Alexandre (20'), Thaciano (40'), Thaciano (40'), Ribeiro (54'), Ribeiro (54'), Ganso (89'), Ganso (89')