Australian A-League | Gameweek 2

Jan 23, 2021 at 8.40am UK

Hindmarsh Stadium, Adelaide

Adelaide United
1 - 0
Victory

Toure (53')
Smith (63'), Juric (79'), D'Arrigo (89')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Brimmer (34'), Ryan (40'), Traore (47'), Kruse (82'), Broxham (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Adelaide United and Melbourne Victory, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 46.98%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 28.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.

Result
Adelaide United	Draw	Melbourne Victory
46.98%	24.34%	28.67%

Both teams to score 57.04%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.71%

45.29%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.37%

67.63%

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.61%

19.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.81%

51.19%

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.76%

29.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.8%

65.2%

Score Analysis

Adelaide United 46.98%

Melbourne Victory 28.67%

Draw 24.34%

Adelaide United	Draw	Melbourne Victory
2-1 @ 9.38% 1-0 @ 9.3% 2-0 @ 7.63% 3-1 @ 5.13% 3-0 @ 4.17% 3-2 @ 3.15% 4-1 @ 2.1% 4-0 @ 1.71% 4-2 @ 1.29% Other @ 3.11% Total : 46.98%	1-1 @ 11.43% 2-2 @ 5.77% 0-0 @ 5.67% 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.34%	1-2 @ 7.03% 0-1 @ 6.97% 0-2 @ 4.29% 1-3 @ 2.88% 2-3 @ 2.36% 0-3 @ 1.76% Other @ 3.39% Total : 28.67%