Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 43.21%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 32.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Perth Glory | Draw | Adelaide United |
| 32.23% | 24.57% | 43.21% |
| Both teams to score 58.24% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.41% | 44.59% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.05% | 66.95% |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.47% | 26.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.27% | 61.73% |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.27% | 20.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.65% | 53.35% |
| Score Analysis |
| Perth Glory | Draw | Adelaide United |
| 2-1 @ 7.62% 1-0 @ 7.3% 2-0 @ 4.84% 3-1 @ 3.37% 3-2 @ 2.65% 3-0 @ 2.14% 4-1 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.19% Total : 32.23% | 1-1 @ 11.48% 2-2 @ 5.99% 0-0 @ 5.5% 3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.56% | 1-2 @ 9.04% 0-1 @ 8.65% 0-2 @ 6.81% 1-3 @ 4.74% 0-3 @ 3.57% 2-3 @ 3.14% 1-4 @ 1.86% 0-4 @ 1.41% 2-4 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.75% Total : 43.21% |