Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perth Glory win with a probability of 58.72%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 19.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perth Glory win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a Melbourne Victory win it was 0-1 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Perth Glory | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
| 58.72% | 21.79% | 19.49% |
| Both teams to score 54.83% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.82% | 43.18% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.42% | 65.58% |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.62% | 14.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.73% | 42.27% |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.04% | 35.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.26% | 72.74% |
| Score Analysis |
| Perth Glory | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
| 1-0 @ 10.03% 2-1 @ 9.95% 2-0 @ 9.73% 3-1 @ 6.43% 3-0 @ 6.29% 3-2 @ 3.29% 4-1 @ 3.12% 4-0 @ 3.05% 4-2 @ 1.59% 5-1 @ 1.21% 5-0 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.87% Total : 58.72% | 1-1 @ 10.25% 0-0 @ 5.17% 2-2 @ 5.09% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.78% | 0-1 @ 5.29% 1-2 @ 5.25% 0-2 @ 2.71% 1-3 @ 1.79% 2-3 @ 1.73% 0-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.81% Total : 19.49% |