Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 40.22%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 35.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.9%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 2-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Adelaide United | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 35.38% | 24.4% | 40.22% |
| Both teams to score 59.75% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.99% | 43.02% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.58% | 65.42% |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.07% | 23.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.84% | 58.16% |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.55% | 21.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.52% | 54.48% |
| Score Analysis |
| Adelaide United | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 2-1 @ 8.08% 1-0 @ 7.34% 2-0 @ 5.25% 3-1 @ 3.85% 3-2 @ 2.96% 3-0 @ 2.5% 4-1 @ 1.38% 4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.96% Total : 35.38% | 1-1 @ 11.3% 2-2 @ 6.22% 0-0 @ 5.14% 3-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.4% | 1-2 @ 8.7% 0-1 @ 7.9% 0-2 @ 6.08% 1-3 @ 4.46% 2-3 @ 3.19% 0-3 @ 3.12% 1-4 @ 1.72% 2-4 @ 1.23% 0-4 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.61% Total : 40.22% |