Sh. Shenhua
3 - 3
Perth Glory

Moreno (62', 72'), Hanchao (73')
Mbia (49'), N'Doumbou (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Fornaroli (45+2'), Armiento (58'), Kilkenny (86' pen.)
Castro (69'), Kilkenny (87'), Sullivan (90+2'), Wilson (90+5')

Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Shanghai Shenhua and Perth Glory.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perth Glory win with a probability of 44.61%. A win for Shanghai Shenhua had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Perth Glory win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Shanghai Shenhua win was 1-0 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Shanghai Shenhua	Draw	Perth Glory
30.08%	25.3%	44.61%

Both teams to score 54.72%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.26%

48.74%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.16%

70.85%

Shanghai Shenhua Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70%

30%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.88%

66.13%

Perth Glory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.17%

21.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.94%

55.06%

Score Analysis

Shanghai Shenhua 30.08%

Perth Glory 44.61%

Draw 25.3%

Shanghai Shenhua	Draw	Perth Glory
1-0 @ 7.89% 2-1 @ 7.22% 2-0 @ 4.75% 3-1 @ 2.9% 3-2 @ 2.21% 3-0 @ 1.91% Other @ 3.22% Total : 30.08%	1-1 @ 12% 0-0 @ 6.55% 2-2 @ 5.5% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.3%	0-1 @ 9.97% 1-2 @ 9.13% 0-2 @ 7.59% 1-3 @ 4.63% 0-3 @ 3.85% 2-3 @ 2.79% 1-4 @ 1.76% 0-4 @ 1.46% 2-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.38% Total : 44.61%

Sh. Shenhua3 - 3Perth Glory

Data Analysis

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