Perth Glory

1 - 2

Sh. Shenhua

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 39.81%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 36.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.54%) and 0-2 (5.87%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Shanghai Shenhua in this match.