Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.32%) and 2-0 (5.89%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Adelaide United |
40.8% | 23.85% | 35.35% |
Both teams to score 61.78% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.63% | 40.36% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.26% | 62.74% |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.95% | 20.05% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.73% | 52.26% |
Adelaide United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.26% | 22.73% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.59% | 56.41% |
Score Analysis |
Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Adelaide United |
2-1 @ 8.72% 1-0 @ 7.32% 2-0 @ 5.89% 3-1 @ 4.67% 3-2 @ 3.46% 3-0 @ 3.15% 4-1 @ 1.88% 4-2 @ 1.39% 4-0 @ 1.27% Other @ 3.06% Total : 40.8% | 1-1 @ 10.84% 2-2 @ 6.46% 0-0 @ 4.56% 3-3 @ 1.71% Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.84% | 1-2 @ 8.04% 0-1 @ 6.75% 0-2 @ 5% 1-3 @ 3.97% 2-3 @ 3.19% 0-3 @ 2.47% 1-4 @ 1.47% 2-4 @ 1.18% 0-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.37% Total : 35.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 50 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 49 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 42 |
4 | Macarthur | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 41 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 38 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 36 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 34 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 32 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 30 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 22 |
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