Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 56.91%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 22.06% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.96%) and 0-1 (7.69%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (5.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Macarthur | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
22.06% | 21.03% | 56.91% |
Both teams to score 61.65% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.92% | 36.08% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.81% | 58.19% |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.55% | 29.45% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.55% | 65.45% |
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.39% | 12.61% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.28% | 38.72% |
Score Analysis |
Macarthur | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
2-1 @ 5.75% 1-0 @ 4.54% 2-0 @ 2.78% 3-2 @ 2.42% 3-1 @ 2.34% 3-0 @ 1.13% Other @ 3.1% Total : 22.06% | 1-1 @ 9.4% 2-2 @ 5.95% 0-0 @ 3.71% 3-3 @ 1.67% Other @ 0.29% Total : 21.03% | 1-2 @ 9.73% 0-2 @ 7.96% 0-1 @ 7.69% 1-3 @ 6.72% 0-3 @ 5.5% 2-3 @ 4.11% 1-4 @ 3.48% 0-4 @ 2.85% 2-4 @ 2.13% 1-5 @ 1.44% 0-5 @ 1.18% Other @ 4.13% Total : 56.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 50 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 49 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 42 |
4 | Macarthur | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 41 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 38 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 36 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 34 |
8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 30 |
9 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 29 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 22 |
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