Australian A-League | Gameweek 10

Jan 30, 2021 at 8.10am UK

Campbelltown Stadium

Macarthur
0 - 3
Sydney FC

Derbyshire (34'), Franjic (63'), Jovanovic (64')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Wood (66', 86'), Ninkovic (76')
Brattan (54'), Baumjohann (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Macarthur and Sydney FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 52.82%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 24.15% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.31%) and 0-2 (8.45%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.

Result
Macarthur	Draw	Sydney FC
24.15%	23.02%	52.82%

Both teams to score 57.33%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.99%

43%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.59%

65.4%

Macarthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.48%

31.51%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.09%

67.9%

Sydney FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.71%

16.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.15%

45.84%

Score Analysis

Macarthur 24.15%

Sydney FC 52.82%

Draw 23.02%

Macarthur	Draw	Sydney FC
2-1 @ 6.21% 1-0 @ 5.93% 2-0 @ 3.42% 3-1 @ 2.39% 3-2 @ 2.17% 3-0 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.72% Total : 24.15%	1-1 @ 10.75% 2-2 @ 5.64% 0-0 @ 5.13% 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.02%	1-2 @ 9.76% 0-1 @ 9.31% 0-2 @ 8.45% 1-3 @ 5.91% 0-3 @ 5.11% 2-3 @ 3.41% 1-4 @ 2.68% 0-4 @ 2.32% 2-4 @ 1.55% 1-5 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.35% Total : 52.82%