Australian A-League | Gameweek 18

Feb 5, 2021 at 8.05am UK

Hindmarsh Stadium, Adelaide

Adelaide United
1 - 2
Perth Glory

Mauk (20')
Elsey (4'), Abetew (39')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Fornaroli (73'), Timotheou (83' og.)
Aspropotamitis (29'), Sullivan (51'), Velaphi (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Australian A-League clash between Adelaide United and Perth Glory, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 44.01%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 1-2 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Adelaide United	Draw	Perth Glory
44.01%	24.42%	31.57%

Both teams to score 58.46%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.82%

44.18%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.45%

66.56%

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.8%

20.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.48%

52.52%

Perth Glory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.26%

26.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.99%

62.01%

Score Analysis

Adelaide United 44.01%

Perth Glory 31.57%

Draw 24.42%

Adelaide United	Draw	Perth Glory
2-1 @ 9.11% 1-0 @ 8.64% 2-0 @ 6.91% 3-1 @ 4.86% 3-0 @ 3.68% 3-2 @ 3.2% 4-1 @ 1.94% 4-0 @ 1.47% 4-2 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.91% Total : 44.01%	1-1 @ 11.39% 2-2 @ 6.01% 0-0 @ 5.4% 3-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.42%	1-2 @ 7.52% 0-1 @ 7.13% 0-2 @ 4.7% 1-3 @ 3.31% 2-3 @ 2.64% 0-3 @ 2.07% 1-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 3.12% Total : 31.57%