Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 50.88%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 25.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
50.88% | 23.31% | 25.81% |
Both teams to score 58.15% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.26% | 42.74% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.86% | 65.14% |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.11% | 16.89% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.08% | 46.92% |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.96% | 30.04% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.84% | 66.16% |
Score Analysis |
Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
2-1 @ 9.65% 1-0 @ 9.02% 2-0 @ 8.02% 3-1 @ 5.72% 3-0 @ 4.76% 3-2 @ 3.44% 4-1 @ 2.54% 4-0 @ 2.12% 4-2 @ 1.53% 5-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.17% Total : 50.88% | 1-1 @ 10.85% 2-2 @ 5.8% 0-0 @ 5.07% 3-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.31% | 1-2 @ 6.53% 0-1 @ 6.1% 0-2 @ 3.67% 1-3 @ 2.62% 2-3 @ 2.33% 0-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 3.1% Total : 25.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 50 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 49 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 42 |
4 | Macarthur | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 41 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 38 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 36 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 34 |
8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 30 |
9 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 29 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 22 |
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