Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perth Glory win with a probability of 44.58%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perth Glory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.36%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Perth Glory | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 44.58% | 23.36% | 32.05% |
| Both teams to score 62.5% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.03% | 38.97% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.71% | 61.29% |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.14% | 17.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.38% | 48.61% |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.08% | 23.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.87% | 58.13% |
| Score Analysis |
| Perth Glory | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 2-1 @ 9.07% 1-0 @ 7.36% 2-0 @ 6.34% 3-1 @ 5.21% 3-2 @ 3.73% 3-0 @ 3.64% 4-1 @ 2.24% 4-2 @ 1.61% 4-0 @ 1.57% Other @ 3.84% Total : 44.59% | 1-1 @ 10.52% 2-2 @ 6.49% 0-0 @ 4.27% 3-3 @ 1.78% Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.36% | 1-2 @ 7.53% 0-1 @ 6.11% 0-2 @ 4.37% 1-3 @ 3.59% 2-3 @ 3.09% 0-3 @ 2.08% 1-4 @ 1.28% 2-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.89% Total : 32.05% |