Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 44.41%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 0-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sydney FC | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
44.41% | 24.96% | 30.63% |
Both teams to score 56.14% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53% | 47% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.75% | 69.25% |
Sydney FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.8% | 21.2% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.91% | 54.09% |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.25% | 28.75% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.41% | 64.59% |
Score Analysis |
Sydney FC | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
1-0 @ 9.46% 2-1 @ 9.14% 2-0 @ 7.33% 3-1 @ 4.73% 3-0 @ 3.79% 3-2 @ 2.95% 4-1 @ 1.83% 4-0 @ 1.47% 4-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.57% Total : 44.41% | 1-1 @ 11.78% 0-0 @ 6.1% 2-2 @ 5.7% 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.96% | 0-1 @ 7.6% 1-2 @ 7.35% 0-2 @ 4.74% 1-3 @ 3.05% 2-3 @ 2.37% 0-3 @ 1.97% 1-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.62% Total : 30.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 50 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 49 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 42 |
4 | Macarthur | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 41 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 38 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 36 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 34 |
8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 30 |
9 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 29 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 22 |
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