Australian A-League | Gameweek 20

Jan 31, 2021 at 7.40am UK

AAMI Park

Melbourne City
1 - 3
Perth Glory

MacLaren (33')
Good (40')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Stynes (11'), Ingham (42'), D'Agostino (84')
Aspropotamitis (70'), Sullivan (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Perth Glory, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 50.1%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 26.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 1-2 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne City	Draw	Perth Glory
50.1%	23.17%	26.73%

Both teams to score 59.51%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.67%

41.33%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.27%

63.73%

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.35%

16.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.5%

46.5%

Perth Glory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.4%

28.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.6%

64.4%

Score Analysis

Melbourne City 50.1%

Perth Glory 26.73%

Draw 23.16%

Melbourne City	Draw	Perth Glory
2-1 @ 9.58% 1-0 @ 8.54% 2-0 @ 7.65% 3-1 @ 5.72% 3-0 @ 4.57% 3-2 @ 3.58% 4-1 @ 2.57% 4-0 @ 2.05% 4-2 @ 1.61% 5-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.31% Total : 50.1%	1-1 @ 10.68% 2-2 @ 6% 0-0 @ 4.76% 3-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.16%	1-2 @ 6.69% 0-1 @ 5.96% 0-2 @ 3.73% 1-3 @ 2.79% 2-3 @ 2.5% 0-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 3.5% Total : 26.73%