Australian A-League | Gameweek 19

Jan 26, 2021 at 8.05am UK

Docklands Stadium

Victory
2 - 1
Perth Glory

Brimmer (86', 90' pen.)
Shotton (45')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Fornaroli (63')
Armiento (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Perth Glory, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perth Glory win with a probability of 40.86%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Perth Glory win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.6%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne Victory	Draw	Perth Glory
34.25%	24.89%	40.86%

Both teams to score 57.77%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.52%

45.48%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.18%

67.81%

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.26%

25.73%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.33%

60.66%

Perth Glory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.79%

22.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.37%

55.63%

Score Analysis

Melbourne Victory 34.25%

Perth Glory 40.86%

Draw 24.89%

Melbourne Victory	Draw	Perth Glory
2-1 @ 7.92% 1-0 @ 7.76% 2-0 @ 5.27% 3-1 @ 3.59% 3-2 @ 2.7% 3-0 @ 2.38% 4-1 @ 1.22% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.51% Total : 34.25%	1-1 @ 11.67% 2-2 @ 5.96% 0-0 @ 5.72% 3-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.89%	1-2 @ 8.78% 0-1 @ 8.6% 0-2 @ 6.47% 1-3 @ 4.4% 0-3 @ 3.25% 2-3 @ 2.99% 1-4 @ 1.66% 0-4 @ 1.22% 2-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.37% Total : 40.86%