Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 35.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 1-0 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Perth Glory | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
| 35.84% | 25.22% | 38.94% |
| Both teams to score 56.9% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.26% | 46.73% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31% | 69% |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.59% | 25.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.78% | 60.22% |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.27% | 23.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.14% | 57.86% |
| Score Analysis |
| Perth Glory | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
| 1-0 @ 8.26% 2-1 @ 8.14% 2-0 @ 5.66% 3-1 @ 3.72% 3-2 @ 2.67% 3-0 @ 2.58% 4-1 @ 1.27% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.62% Total : 35.84% | 1-1 @ 11.88% 0-0 @ 6.03% 2-2 @ 5.86% 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.22% | 0-1 @ 8.67% 1-2 @ 8.55% 0-2 @ 6.24% 1-3 @ 4.1% 0-3 @ 2.99% 2-3 @ 2.81% 1-4 @ 1.47% 0-4 @ 1.08% 2-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.03% Total : 38.94% |