Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 38.81%. A win for Western United had a probability of 36.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Western United |
38.81% | 24.85% | 36.33% |
Both teams to score 58.25% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.99% | 45.01% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.64% | 67.36% |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.98% | 23.02% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.17% | 56.83% |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.67% | 24.33% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.28% | 58.72% |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Western United |
2-1 @ 8.54% 1-0 @ 8.23% 2-0 @ 6.04% 3-1 @ 4.18% 3-0 @ 2.96% 3-2 @ 2.96% 4-1 @ 1.54% 4-0 @ 1.09% 4-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.2% Total : 38.81% | 1-1 @ 11.62% 2-2 @ 6.04% 0-0 @ 5.6% 3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.85% | 1-2 @ 8.22% 0-1 @ 7.92% 0-2 @ 5.6% 1-3 @ 3.87% 2-3 @ 2.84% 0-3 @ 2.64% 1-4 @ 1.37% 2-4 @ 1.01% 0-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.95% Total : 36.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 50 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 49 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 42 |
4 | Macarthur | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 41 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 38 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 36 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 34 |
8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 30 |
9 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 29 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 22 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |