Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 38.81%. A win for Western United had a probability of 36.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Western United |
| 38.81% | 24.85% | 36.33% |
| Both teams to score 58.25% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.99% | 45.01% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.64% | 67.36% |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.98% | 23.02% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.17% | 56.83% |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.67% | 24.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.28% | 58.72% |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Western United |
| 2-1 @ 8.54% 1-0 @ 8.23% 2-0 @ 6.04% 3-1 @ 4.18% 3-0 @ 2.96% 3-2 @ 2.96% 4-1 @ 1.54% 4-0 @ 1.09% 4-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.2% Total : 38.81% | 1-1 @ 11.62% 2-2 @ 6.04% 0-0 @ 5.6% 3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.85% | 1-2 @ 8.22% 0-1 @ 7.92% 0-2 @ 5.6% 1-3 @ 3.87% 2-3 @ 2.84% 0-3 @ 2.64% 1-4 @ 1.37% 2-4 @ 1.01% 0-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.95% Total : 36.33% |