Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Western United had a probability of 36.8% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.83%) and 0-2 (5.09%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western Sydney Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Western United | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
| 36.8% | 22.62% | 40.59% |
| Both teams to score 66.77% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.03% | 33.97% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.17% | 55.84% |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.88% | 19.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.25% | 50.75% |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.55% | 17.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.08% | 47.92% |
| Score Analysis |
| Western United | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
| 2-1 @ 7.97% 1-0 @ 5.52% 2-0 @ 4.57% 3-1 @ 4.4% 3-2 @ 3.84% 3-0 @ 2.52% 4-1 @ 1.82% 4-2 @ 1.59% 4-0 @ 1.04% 4-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.61% Total : 36.8% | 1-1 @ 9.64% 2-2 @ 6.96% 0-0 @ 3.34% 3-3 @ 2.23% Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.62% | 1-2 @ 8.41% 0-1 @ 5.83% 0-2 @ 5.09% 1-3 @ 4.9% 2-3 @ 4.05% 0-3 @ 2.96% 1-4 @ 2.14% 2-4 @ 1.77% 0-4 @ 1.29% 3-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 3.19% Total : 40.59% |