Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for Sydney FC had a probability of 35.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.28%). The likeliest Sydney FC win was 1-0 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sydney FC | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
| 35.66% | 25.24% | 39.1% |
| Both teams to score 56.82% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.17% | 46.83% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.91% | 69.09% |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.45% | 25.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.58% | 60.42% |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.32% | 23.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.2% | 57.8% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sydney FC | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
| 1-0 @ 8.26% 2-1 @ 8.11% 2-0 @ 5.63% 3-1 @ 3.69% 3-2 @ 2.66% 3-0 @ 2.56% 4-1 @ 1.26% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.58% Total : 35.66% | 1-1 @ 11.89% 0-0 @ 6.05% 2-2 @ 5.84% 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.23% | 0-1 @ 8.72% 1-2 @ 8.57% 0-2 @ 6.28% 1-3 @ 4.11% 0-3 @ 3.01% 2-3 @ 2.81% 1-4 @ 1.48% 0-4 @ 1.09% 2-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.03% Total : 39.1% |