Australian A-League | Gameweek 16

Feb 28, 2021 at 7.10am UK

Hunter Stadium

Newcastle Jets
0 - 2
Wellington

Millar (52'), O'Toole (58'), Koutroumbis (76')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ball (22'), Waine (53')
Laws (36'), Rufer (67'), Hemed (75'), Sail (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Australian A-League clash between Newcastle Jets and Wellington Phoenix, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 43.14%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 32.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle Jets	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
43.14%	24.15%	32.7%

Both teams to score 59.89%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.49%

42.51%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.08%

64.91%

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.1%

19.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.98%

52.02%

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.76%

25.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.01%

59.98%

Score Analysis

Newcastle Jets 43.15%

Wellington Phoenix 32.7%

Draw 24.15%

Newcastle Jets	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
2-1 @ 9.01% 1-0 @ 8.11% 2-0 @ 6.55% 3-1 @ 4.85% 3-0 @ 3.52% 3-2 @ 3.34% 4-1 @ 1.96% 4-0 @ 1.42% 4-2 @ 1.35% Other @ 3.04% Total : 43.15%	1-1 @ 11.16% 2-2 @ 6.2% 0-0 @ 5.02% 3-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.15%	1-2 @ 7.69% 0-1 @ 6.91% 0-2 @ 4.76% 1-3 @ 3.53% 2-3 @ 2.85% 0-3 @ 2.18% 1-4 @ 1.21% 2-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.59% Total : 32.7%