Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 38.73%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 37.27% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.22%) and 0-2 (5.6%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 2-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Adelaide United | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
| 37.27% | 24% | 38.73% |
| Both teams to score 61.47% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.14% | 40.86% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.75% | 63.25% |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.04% | 21.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.75% | 55.25% |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.77% | 21.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.87% | 54.13% |
| Score Analysis |
| Adelaide United | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
| 2-1 @ 8.3% 1-0 @ 7.07% 2-0 @ 5.36% 3-1 @ 4.2% 3-2 @ 3.25% 3-0 @ 2.71% 4-1 @ 1.59% 4-2 @ 1.23% 4-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.54% Total : 37.27% | 1-1 @ 10.95% 2-2 @ 6.43% 0-0 @ 4.66% 3-3 @ 1.68% Other @ 0.27% Total : 24% | 1-2 @ 8.49% 0-1 @ 7.22% 0-2 @ 5.6% 1-3 @ 4.38% 2-3 @ 3.32% 0-3 @ 2.89% 1-4 @ 1.7% 2-4 @ 1.29% 0-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.72% Total : 38.73% |