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Australian A-League | Gameweek 19
Mar 5, 2021 at 8.35am UK
Hindmarsh Stadium, Adelaide
Newcastle Jets
Adelaide United
2 - 1
Newcastle Jets
D'Arrigo (6'), Goodwin (77')
Halloran (17'), Mauk (81')
FT(HT: 1-1)
O'Toole (22')
Abbas (25')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Adelaide United and Newcastle Jets.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 38.73%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 37.27% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.22%) and 0-2 (5.6%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 2-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
Adelaide UnitedDrawNewcastle Jets
37.27%24%38.73%
Both teams to score 61.47%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.14%40.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.75%63.25%
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.04%21.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.75%55.25%
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.77%21.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.87%54.13%
Score Analysis
    Adelaide United 37.27%
    Newcastle Jets 38.73%
    Draw 24%
Adelaide UnitedDrawNewcastle Jets
2-1 @ 8.3%
1-0 @ 7.07%
2-0 @ 5.36%
3-1 @ 4.2%
3-2 @ 3.25%
3-0 @ 2.71%
4-1 @ 1.59%
4-2 @ 1.23%
4-0 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 37.27%
1-1 @ 10.95%
2-2 @ 6.43%
0-0 @ 4.66%
3-3 @ 1.68%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 24%
1-2 @ 8.49%
0-1 @ 7.22%
0-2 @ 5.6%
1-3 @ 4.38%
2-3 @ 3.32%
0-3 @ 2.89%
1-4 @ 1.7%
2-4 @ 1.29%
0-4 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 38.73%

Head to Head
Mar 15, 2020 7.20am
Gameweek 23
Adelaide United
0-3
Newcastle Jets

Boland (30'), Jakobsen (60')
O'Donovan (41'), Millar (51'), Ugarkovic (54')
Burns (14'), Boogaard (53')
Dec 8, 2019 7am
Oct 26, 2019 7am
Gameweek 3
Newcastle Jets
1-2
Adelaide United
Arroyo (37')
Boogaard (89')
McGree (49', 61')
Troisi (27'), D'Arrigo (47'), Jakobsen (79'), Strain (95')
Feb 24, 2019 6am
Dec 30, 2018 8.30am
Gameweek 10
Newcastle Jets
1-2
Adelaide United
O'Donovan (75')
Hoffman (48')
Mileusnic (38'), Goodwin (91' pen.)
Kitto (82')
rhs 2.0
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