Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 39.44%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 36.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7%) and 2-0 (5.57%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western United would win this match.
Result | ||
Western United | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
39.44% | 23.73% | 36.83% |
Both teams to score 62.46% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.43% | 39.57% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.09% | 61.91% |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.67% | 20.33% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.28% | 52.72% |
Brisbane Roar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.4% | 21.6% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.3% | 54.7% |
Score Analysis |
Western United | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
2-1 @ 8.54% 1-0 @ 7% 2-0 @ 5.57% 3-1 @ 4.54% 3-2 @ 3.48% 3-0 @ 2.96% 4-1 @ 1.81% 4-2 @ 1.38% 4-0 @ 1.18% Other @ 3% Total : 39.44% | 1-1 @ 10.72% 2-2 @ 6.54% 0-0 @ 4.39% 3-3 @ 1.78% Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.73% | 1-2 @ 8.22% 0-1 @ 6.73% 0-2 @ 5.16% 1-3 @ 4.2% 2-3 @ 3.34% 0-3 @ 2.63% 1-4 @ 1.61% 2-4 @ 1.28% 0-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.66% Total : 36.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 50 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 49 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 42 |
4 | Macarthur | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 41 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 38 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 36 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 34 |
8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 30 |
9 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 29 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 22 |
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