Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for Western United had a probability of 37.01% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.66%) and 2-0 (5.42%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Macarthur in this match.
Result | ||
Macarthur | Draw | Western United |
39.56% | 23.43% | 37.01% |
Both teams to score 63.63% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.94% | 38.06% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.68% | 60.32% |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.37% | 19.63% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.42% | 51.58% |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.16% | 20.84% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.48% | 53.52% |
Score Analysis |
Macarthur | Draw | Western United |
2-1 @ 8.5% 1-0 @ 6.66% 2-0 @ 5.42% 3-1 @ 4.62% 3-2 @ 3.62% 3-0 @ 2.94% 4-1 @ 1.88% 4-2 @ 1.47% 4-0 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.25% Total : 39.56% | 1-1 @ 10.44% 2-2 @ 6.67% 0-0 @ 4.09% 3-3 @ 1.89% Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.43% | 1-2 @ 8.19% 0-1 @ 6.41% 0-2 @ 5.03% 1-3 @ 4.28% 2-3 @ 3.49% 0-3 @ 2.63% 1-4 @ 1.68% 2-4 @ 1.37% 0-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.9% Total : 37.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 50 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 49 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 42 |
4 | Macarthur | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 41 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 38 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 36 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 34 |
8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 30 |
9 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 29 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 22 |
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