Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 38.15%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 36.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.08%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Adelaide United |
| 38.15% | 25.21% | 36.63% |
| Both teams to score 56.97% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.34% | 46.66% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.07% | 68.93% |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.89% | 24.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.6% | 58.4% |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.07% | 24.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.44% | 59.56% |
| Score Analysis |
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Adelaide United |
| 1-0 @ 8.55% 2-1 @ 8.45% 2-0 @ 6.08% 3-1 @ 4.01% 3-0 @ 2.88% 3-2 @ 2.78% 4-1 @ 1.43% 4-0 @ 1.03% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.96% Total : 38.15% | 1-1 @ 11.87% 0-0 @ 6.01% 2-2 @ 5.87% 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.21% | 0-1 @ 8.35% 1-2 @ 8.25% 0-2 @ 5.8% 1-3 @ 3.82% 2-3 @ 2.72% 0-3 @ 2.69% 1-4 @ 1.33% 2-4 @ 0.94% 0-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.81% Total : 36.63% |