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Australian A-League | Gameweek 13
Mar 22, 2021 at 8.05am UK
AAMI Park
Central Coast Mariners

Melbourne City
2 - 0
Central Coast

MacLaren (31'), Atkinson (56')
Metcalfe (45'), Luna (49')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bozanic (42'), Tongyik (52'), Stajcic (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's A-League clash between Melbourne City and Central Coast Mariners, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 52.91%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 24.91% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.95%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Melbourne CityDrawCentral Coast Mariners
52.91%22.17%24.91%
Both teams to score 61.21%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.73%38.26%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.45%60.54%
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.42%14.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.36%42.64%
Central Coast Mariners Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.66%28.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.92%64.07%
Score Analysis
    Melbourne City 52.91%
    Central Coast Mariners 24.91%
    Draw 22.17%
Melbourne CityDrawCentral Coast Mariners
2-1 @ 9.66%
1-0 @ 7.95%
2-0 @ 7.66%
3-1 @ 6.2%
3-0 @ 4.92%
3-2 @ 3.91%
4-1 @ 2.99%
4-0 @ 2.37%
4-2 @ 1.88%
5-1 @ 1.15%
5-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 52.91%
1-1 @ 10.03%
2-2 @ 6.09%
0-0 @ 4.13%
3-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 22.17%
1-2 @ 6.32%
0-1 @ 5.21%
0-2 @ 3.28%
1-3 @ 2.66%
2-3 @ 2.56%
0-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 24.91%

rhs 2.0


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