Australian A-League | Gameweek 15

Mar 2, 2021 at 8.05am UK

Parramatta Stadium

Western Sydney
0 - 2
Melbourne City

Baccus (39'), Mutch (63')

FT(HT: 0-1)

MacLaren (6', 54' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Australian A-League clash between Western Sydney Wanderers and Melbourne City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 43.6%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.94%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Western Sydney Wanderers	Draw	Melbourne City
32.44%	23.95%	43.6%

Both teams to score 60.51%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.35%

41.66%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.95%

64.06%

Western Sydney Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.02%

24.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.37%

59.63%

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.65%

19.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.87%

51.13%

Score Analysis

Western Sydney Wanderers 32.45%

Melbourne City 43.6%

Draw 23.95%

Western Sydney Wanderers	Draw	Melbourne City
2-1 @ 7.64% 1-0 @ 6.7% 2-0 @ 4.65% 3-1 @ 3.53% 3-2 @ 2.9% 3-0 @ 2.15% 4-1 @ 1.23% 4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.64% Total : 32.45%	1-1 @ 11.01% 2-2 @ 6.27% 0-0 @ 4.83% 3-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.95%	1-2 @ 9.04% 0-1 @ 7.94% 0-2 @ 6.52% 1-3 @ 4.95% 0-3 @ 3.57% 2-3 @ 3.44% 1-4 @ 2.03% 0-4 @ 1.47% 2-4 @ 1.41% Other @ 3.23% Total : 43.6%