Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 43.12%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 30.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western Sydney Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
| 43.12% | 26.1% | 30.78% |
| Both teams to score 52.52% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.25% | 51.75% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.48% | 73.52% |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.16% | 23.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.98% | 58.02% |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.95% | 31.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.64% | 67.36% |
| Score Analysis |
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
| 1-0 @ 10.61% 2-1 @ 8.9% 2-0 @ 7.61% 3-1 @ 4.25% 3-0 @ 3.64% 3-2 @ 2.49% 4-1 @ 1.53% 4-0 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.79% Total : 43.12% | 1-1 @ 12.41% 0-0 @ 7.4% 2-2 @ 5.21% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.09% | 0-1 @ 8.66% 1-2 @ 7.26% 0-2 @ 5.06% 1-3 @ 2.83% 2-3 @ 2.03% 0-3 @ 1.97% Other @ 2.97% Total : 30.78% |