Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 50.59%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Western United had a probability of 24.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.48%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Western United win it was 0-1 (7.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne City | Draw | Western United |
| 50.59% | 25.37% | 24.04% |
| Both teams to score 49.78% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.06% | 52.93% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.46% | 74.54% |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.06% | 20.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.32% | 53.68% |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.96% | 37.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.17% | 73.83% |
| Score Analysis |
| Melbourne City | Draw | Western United |
| 1-0 @ 12.12% 2-0 @ 9.48% 2-1 @ 9.42% 3-0 @ 4.94% 3-1 @ 4.91% 3-2 @ 2.44% 4-0 @ 1.93% 4-1 @ 1.92% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.48% Total : 50.58% | 1-1 @ 12.04% 0-0 @ 7.76% 2-2 @ 4.68% Other @ 0.89% Total : 25.36% | 0-1 @ 7.7% 1-2 @ 5.98% 0-2 @ 3.83% 1-3 @ 1.98% 2-3 @ 1.55% 0-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.74% Total : 24.04% |