Australian A-League | Gameweek 24

Feb 23, 2021 at 8.05am UK

AAMI Park

Melbourne City
3 - 2
Sydney FC

MacLaren (8', 54'), Luna (28')
Metcalfe (59')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Ninkovic (72'), Wood (90')
Wilkinson (11'), Retre (30'), Grant (30'), Caceres (36'), McGowan (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Sydney FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 39.89%. A win for Melbourne City had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.68%) and 0-2 (5.94%). The likeliest Melbourne City win was 2-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne City	Draw	Sydney FC
35.85%	24.26%	39.89%

Both teams to score 60.35%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.74%

42.26%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.34%

64.67%

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.67%

23.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.71%

57.29%

Sydney FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.72%

21.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.79%

54.21%

Score Analysis

Melbourne City 35.85%

Sydney FC 39.89%

Draw 24.26%

Melbourne City	Draw	Sydney FC
2-1 @ 8.14% 1-0 @ 7.23% 2-0 @ 5.26% 3-1 @ 3.95% 3-2 @ 3.05% 3-0 @ 2.55% 4-1 @ 1.44% 4-2 @ 1.11% 4-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.2% Total : 35.85%	1-1 @ 11.18% 2-2 @ 6.3% 0-0 @ 4.97% 3-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.26%	1-2 @ 8.65% 0-1 @ 7.68% 0-2 @ 5.94% 1-3 @ 4.46% 2-3 @ 3.25% 0-3 @ 3.07% 1-4 @ 1.73% 2-4 @ 1.26% 0-4 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.67% Total : 39.89%