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Australian A-League | Gameweek 24
Feb 23, 2021 at 8.05am UK
AAMI Park
Sydney FC

Melbourne City
3 - 2
Sydney FC

MacLaren (8', 54'), Luna (28')
Metcalfe (59')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Ninkovic (72'), Wood (90')
Wilkinson (11'), Retre (30'), Grant (30'), Caceres (36'), McGowan (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Sydney FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 39.89%. A win for Melbourne City had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.68%) and 0-2 (5.94%). The likeliest Melbourne City win was 2-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne CityDrawSydney FC
35.85%24.26%39.89%
Both teams to score 60.35%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.74%42.26%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.34%64.67%
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.67%23.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.71%57.29%
Sydney FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.72%21.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.79%54.21%
Score Analysis
    Melbourne City 35.85%
    Sydney FC 39.89%
    Draw 24.26%
Melbourne CityDrawSydney FC
2-1 @ 8.14%
1-0 @ 7.23%
2-0 @ 5.26%
3-1 @ 3.95%
3-2 @ 3.05%
3-0 @ 2.55%
4-1 @ 1.44%
4-2 @ 1.11%
4-0 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 35.85%
1-1 @ 11.18%
2-2 @ 6.3%
0-0 @ 4.97%
3-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.26%
1-2 @ 8.65%
0-1 @ 7.68%
0-2 @ 5.94%
1-3 @ 4.46%
2-3 @ 3.25%
0-3 @ 3.07%
1-4 @ 1.73%
2-4 @ 1.26%
0-4 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 39.89%

How you voted: Melbourne City vs Sydney FC

Melbourne City
28.9%
Draw
8.9%
Sydney FC
62.2%
45
Head to Head
Aug 30, 2020 9.30am
Aug 1, 2020 8am
Gameweek 29
Melbourne City
2-0
Sydney FC
Noone (57'), MacLaren (68')
Windbichler (11'), Good (55')

Retre (40'), Brattan (59')
Dec 29, 2019 7.30am
Gameweek 12
Sydney FC
2-1
Melbourne City
Le Fondre (29'), Barbarouses (84')
Grant (25')
Metcalfe (22')
Griffiths (19'), Atkinson (76'), Luna (81')
Mar 17, 2019 8am
Gameweek 22
Sydney FC
0-2
Melbourne City
Harrison (62'), Retre (79' og.)
De Laet (74')
Feb 3, 2019 6am
Gameweek 17
Sydney FC
2-0
Melbourne City
Ivanovic (9'), Le Fondre (86')

Delbridge (11'), Atkinson (73'), Baccus (80')
rhs 2.0
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