Australian A-League | Gameweek 18

Apr 11, 2021 at 10.05am UK

Wellington Regional Stadium, Wellington

Wellington
3 - 2
Western Utd

Davila (45+1' pen.), Sotirio (53'), Waine (90')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Berisha (32' pen.), Guarrotxena (56')
Berisha (57'), Duzel (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Western United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 40.45%. A win for Western United had a probability of 35.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.87%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wellington Phoenix would win this match.

Result
Wellington Phoenix	Draw	Western United
40.45%	24.35%	35.2%

Both teams to score 59.92%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.23%

42.77%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.82%

65.18%

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.76%

21.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.86%

54.14%

Western United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.08%

23.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.86%

58.14%

Score Analysis

Wellington Phoenix 40.45%

Western United 35.2%

Draw 24.34%

Wellington Phoenix	Draw	Western United
2-1 @ 8.72% 1-0 @ 7.87% 2-0 @ 6.1% 3-1 @ 4.51% 3-2 @ 3.22% 3-0 @ 3.15% 4-1 @ 1.75% 4-2 @ 1.25% 4-0 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.67% Total : 40.45%	1-1 @ 11.25% 2-2 @ 6.24% 0-0 @ 5.08% 3-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.34%	1-2 @ 8.05% 0-1 @ 7.27% 0-2 @ 5.2% 1-3 @ 3.84% 2-3 @ 2.97% 0-3 @ 2.48% 1-4 @ 1.37% 2-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.96% Total : 35.2%