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Wellington Phoenix
Australian A-League | Gameweek 18
Apr 11, 2021 at 10.05am UK
Wellington Regional Stadium, Wellington
Western United
Wellington
3 - 2
Western Utd
Davila (45+1' pen.), Sotirio (53'), Waine (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Berisha (32' pen.), Guarrotxena (56')
Berisha (57'), Duzel (68')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Western United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 40.45%. A win for Western United had a probability of 35.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.87%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wellington Phoenix would win this match.

Result
Wellington PhoenixDrawWestern United
40.45%24.35%35.2%
Both teams to score 59.92%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.23%42.77%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.82%65.18%
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.76%21.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.86%54.14%
Western United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.08%23.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.86%58.14%
Score Analysis
    Wellington Phoenix 40.45%
    Western United 35.2%
    Draw 24.34%
Wellington PhoenixDrawWestern United
2-1 @ 8.72%
1-0 @ 7.87%
2-0 @ 6.1%
3-1 @ 4.51%
3-2 @ 3.22%
3-0 @ 3.15%
4-1 @ 1.75%
4-2 @ 1.25%
4-0 @ 1.22%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 40.45%
1-1 @ 11.25%
2-2 @ 6.24%
0-0 @ 5.08%
3-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.34%
1-2 @ 8.05%
0-1 @ 7.27%
0-2 @ 5.2%
1-3 @ 3.84%
2-3 @ 2.97%
0-3 @ 2.48%
1-4 @ 1.37%
2-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 35.2%

How you voted: Wellington vs Western Utd

Wellington Phoenix
50.0%
Draw
16.7%
Western United
33.3%
12
Head to Head
Feb 21, 2020 6.15am
Gameweek 20
Wellington
2-0
Western Utd
Cacace (29'), Ball (90')
Taylor (25'), Piscopo (42')

Lustica (23')
Dec 28, 2019 6am
Gameweek 12
Western Utd
1-3
Wellington
Diamanti (89' pen.)
Calver (10'), Skotadis (34'), Pain (37'), Jertec (68')
Ball (41'), Mccowatt (55'), Davila (80')
Piscopo (44'), Taylor (88')
Oct 13, 2019 6am
Gameweek 1
Wellington
0-1
Western Utd

Rufer (61')
Berisha (34')
Jertec94 (0')
rhs 2.0
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