Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 42.13%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 32.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 0-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Perth Glory |
| 42.13% | 25.28% | 32.58% |
| Both teams to score 55.92% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.32% | 47.67% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.13% | 69.87% |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.45% | 22.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.87% | 56.13% |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.19% | 27.81% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.6% | 63.4% |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Perth Glory |
| 1-0 @ 9.34% 2-1 @ 8.9% 2-0 @ 6.96% 3-1 @ 4.42% 3-0 @ 3.45% 3-2 @ 2.83% 4-1 @ 1.65% 4-0 @ 1.29% 4-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.25% Total : 42.13% | 1-1 @ 11.95% 0-0 @ 6.27% 2-2 @ 5.7% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.28% | 0-1 @ 8.02% 1-2 @ 7.65% 0-2 @ 5.14% 1-3 @ 3.26% 2-3 @ 2.43% 0-3 @ 2.19% 1-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.85% Total : 32.59% |