Australian A-League | Gameweek 21

Apr 18, 2021 at 9.10am UK

Campbelltown Stadium

Macarthur
2 - 2
Newcastle Jets

M'Mombwa (36'), Puyo (45+2')
Rose (7')

FT(HT: 2-1)

O'Donovan (27' pen.), Ugarkovic (57')
Stamatelopoulos (51'), Krasniqi (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Australian A-League clash between Macarthur and Newcastle Jets, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 38.58%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 37.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.64%) and 2-0 (5.77%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Macarthur	Draw	Newcastle Jets
38.58%	24.38%	37.05%

Both teams to score 60.04%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.29%

42.71%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.88%

65.12%

Macarthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.88%

22.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.51%

55.5%

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.1%

22.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.34%

56.66%

Score Analysis

Macarthur 38.58%

Newcastle Jets 37.05%

Draw 24.37%

Macarthur	Draw	Newcastle Jets
2-1 @ 8.5% 1-0 @ 7.64% 2-0 @ 5.77% 3-1 @ 4.27% 3-2 @ 3.15% 3-0 @ 2.9% 4-1 @ 1.61% 4-2 @ 1.19% 4-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.46% Total : 38.58%	1-1 @ 11.26% 2-2 @ 6.26% 0-0 @ 5.07% 3-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.37%	1-2 @ 8.3% 0-1 @ 7.47% 0-2 @ 5.5% 1-3 @ 4.08% 2-3 @ 3.08% 0-3 @ 2.7% 1-4 @ 1.5% 2-4 @ 1.13% 0-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.28% Total : 37.05%