Australian A-League Gameweek 11
Apr 14, 2021 10.35am
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Tomi Juric 15' goal
  • Ben Halloran 43' yellowcard
  • Juande 65' yellowcard
  • Craig Goodwin 72' goal
  • Ben Halloran 81' goal
  • goal Matt Derbyshire 33'
  • yellowcard Lachlan Rose 70'
  • yellowcard Milislav Popovic 88'

Adelaide United vs Macarthur - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Adelaide United

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Apr 10, 2021 10.10am
Adelaide United 1 - 1 Western Sydney
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Stefan Mauk

Macarthur

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Apr 9, 2021 10.05am
Macarthur 1 - 2 Brisbane Roar
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Matt Derbyshire

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 48.05%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 28.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.

Result

Adelaide United 48.05%
Draw 23.51%
Macarthur 28.44%

Both Teams to Score: 

59.74%

Goals

Over 2.5 58.34%
Under 2.5 41.66%
Over 3.5 35.94%
Under 3.5 64.06%

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5 82.46%
Under 0.5 17.54%
Over 1.5 51.92%
Under 1.5 48.08%

Macarthur Goals

Over 0.5 72.45%
Under 0.5 27.55%
Over 1.5 36.93%
Under 1.5 63.07%

Score analysis

Adelaide United 48.05%
Draw 23.51%
Macarthur 28.44%
Adelaide United
2-1 @ 9.44%
1-0 @ 8.41%
2-0 @ 7.32%
3-1 @ 5.48%
3-0 @ 4.25%
3-2 @ 3.53%
4-1 @ 2.38%
4-0 @ 1.85%
4-2 @ 1.54%
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 48.05%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.84%
2-2 @ 6.08%
0-0 @ 4.83%
3-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.51%
Macarthur
1-2 @ 6.99%
0-1 @ 6.23%
0-2 @ 4.02%
1-3 @ 3%
2-3 @ 2.61%
0-3 @ 1.73%
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 28.44%

Head to Head

Australian A-League Gameweek 25
Feb 12, 2021 8.05am
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Matt Derbyshire 66' goal
  • Matt Derbyshire 73' goal
  • Mark Milligan 83' goal
  • Matt Derbyshire 90' goal
  • yellowcard Ben Halloran 3'
  • yellowcard Stefan Mauk 58'