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Australian A-League | Gameweek 11
Apr 14, 2021 at 10.35am UK
Hindmarsh Stadium, Adelaide
Macarthur

Adelaide United
3 - 1
Macarthur

Juric (15'), Goodwin (72' pen.), Halloran (81')
Halloran (43'), Juande (65')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Derbyshire (33')
Rose (70'), Popovic (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Australian A-League clash between Adelaide United and Macarthur, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 48.05%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 28.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.

Result
Adelaide UnitedDrawMacarthur
48.05%23.51%28.44%
Both teams to score 59.74%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.34%41.66%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.94%64.06%
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.46%17.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.92%48.08%
Macarthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.45%27.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.93%63.07%
Score Analysis
    Adelaide United 48.05%
    Macarthur 28.44%
    Draw 23.51%
Adelaide UnitedDrawMacarthur
2-1 @ 9.44%
1-0 @ 8.41%
2-0 @ 7.32%
3-1 @ 5.48%
3-0 @ 4.25%
3-2 @ 3.53%
4-1 @ 2.38%
4-0 @ 1.85%
4-2 @ 1.54%
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 48.05%
1-1 @ 10.84%
2-2 @ 6.08%
0-0 @ 4.83%
3-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.51%
1-2 @ 6.99%
0-1 @ 6.23%
0-2 @ 4.02%
1-3 @ 3%
2-3 @ 2.61%
0-3 @ 1.73%
1-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 28.44%

How you voted: Adelaide United vs Macarthur

Adelaide United
56.9%
Draw
17.6%
Macarthur
25.5%
51
Head to Head
Feb 12, 2021 8.05am
Gameweek 25
Macarthur
4-0
Adelaide United
Derbyshire (66', 73', 90'), Milligan (83')

Halloran (3'), Mauk (58')
rhs 2.0
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