Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 45.07%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 31.22% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.91%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Adelaide United | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
45.07% | 23.7% | 31.22% |
Both teams to score 60.86% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.05% | 40.94% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.66% | 63.33% |
Adelaide United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.55% | 18.44% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.38% | 49.62% |
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.62% | 25.37% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.82% | 60.17% |
Score Analysis |
Adelaide United | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
2-1 @ 9.17% 1-0 @ 7.91% 2-0 @ 6.69% 3-1 @ 5.17% 3-0 @ 3.77% 3-2 @ 3.54% 4-1 @ 2.18% 4-0 @ 1.59% 4-2 @ 1.5% Other @ 3.55% Total : 45.07% | 1-1 @ 10.84% 2-2 @ 6.29% 0-0 @ 4.68% 3-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.69% | 1-2 @ 7.44% 0-1 @ 6.42% 0-2 @ 4.4% 1-3 @ 3.4% 2-3 @ 2.88% 0-3 @ 2.01% 1-4 @ 1.17% 2-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.53% Total : 31.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 50 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 49 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 42 |
4 | Macarthur | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 41 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 38 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 36 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 34 |
8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 30 |
9 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 29 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 22 |
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