Australian A-League | Gameweek 14

Mar 28, 2021 at 6.05am UK

WIN Stadium

Wellington
0 - 1
Macarthur

Hemed (45+1'), Devlin (61')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Genreau (65')
Jovanovic (48'), Martis (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Macarthur, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 50.35%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 26.82% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.1%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Wellington Phoenix	Draw	Macarthur
50.35%	22.83%	26.82%

Both teams to score 60.79%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.32%

39.68%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.97%

62.04%

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.05%

15.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.76%

45.24%

Macarthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.33%

27.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.77%

63.23%

Score Analysis

Wellington Phoenix 50.35%

Macarthur 26.82%

Draw 22.83%

Wellington Phoenix	Draw	Macarthur
2-1 @ 9.56% 1-0 @ 8.1% 2-0 @ 7.44% 3-1 @ 5.85% 3-0 @ 4.55% 3-2 @ 3.76% 4-1 @ 2.68% 4-0 @ 2.09% 4-2 @ 1.72% 5-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.63% Total : 50.35%	1-1 @ 10.41% 2-2 @ 6.14% 0-0 @ 4.42% 3-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.83%	1-2 @ 6.69% 0-1 @ 5.67% 0-2 @ 3.64% 1-3 @ 2.86% 2-3 @ 2.63% 0-3 @ 1.56% 1-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.84% Total : 26.82%

Wellington0 - 1Macarthur

The Match

Preview

Data Analysis

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Wellington
0 - 1
Macarthur