Australian A-League Gameweek 23
Apr 2, 2021 8.05am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Matt Derbyshire 10' goal
  • Matt Derbyshire 36' yellowcard
  • Matt Derbyshire 45' goal
  • yellowcard Bruno Fornaroli 81'

Macarthur vs Perth Glory - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Macarthur

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Mar 28, 2021 6.05am
Wellington 0 - 1 Macarthur
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Matt Derbyshire

Perth Glory

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Mar 27, 2021 10.20am
Perth Glory 2 - 1 Newcastle Jets
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Bruno Fornaroli

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 41.55%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 34.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.04%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 1-2 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Macarthur would win this match.

Result

Macarthur 41.55%
Draw 23.53%
Perth Glory 34.92%

Both Teams to Score: 

62.88%

Goals

Over 2.5 61.12%
Under 2.5 38.88%
Over 3.5 38.8%
Under 3.5 61.2%

Macarthur Goals

Over 0.5 80.91%
Under 0.5 19.09%
Over 1.5 49.3%
Under 1.5 50.7%

Perth Glory Goals

Over 0.5 77.72%
Under 0.5 22.28%
Over 1.5 44.27%
Under 1.5 55.73%

Score analysis

Macarthur 41.55%
Draw 23.53%
Perth Glory 34.92%
Macarthur
2-1 @ 8.76%
1-0 @ 7.04%
2-0 @ 5.83%
3-1 @ 4.83%
3-2 @ 3.63%
3-0 @ 3.22%
4-1 @ 2%
4-2 @ 1.5%
4-0 @ 1.33%
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 41.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.57%
2-2 @ 6.57%
0-0 @ 4.25%
3-3 @ 1.82%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.53%
Perth Glory
1-2 @ 7.94%
0-1 @ 6.39%
0-2 @ 4.79%
1-3 @ 3.97%
2-3 @ 3.29%
0-3 @ 2.4%
1-4 @ 1.49%
2-4 @ 1.24%
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 34.92%