Australian A-League | Gameweek 23

Apr 2, 2021 at 8.05am UK

Campbelltown Stadium

Macarthur
2 - 0
Perth Glory

Derbyshire (10', 45' pen.)
Derbyshire (36')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Fornaroli (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Australian A-League clash between Macarthur and Perth Glory, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 41.55%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 34.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.04%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 1-2 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Macarthur would win this match.

Result
Macarthur	Draw	Perth Glory
41.55%	23.53%	34.92%

Both teams to score 62.88%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.12%

38.88%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.8%

61.2%

Macarthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.91%

19.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.3%

50.7%

Perth Glory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.72%

22.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.27%

55.73%

Score Analysis

Macarthur 41.55%

Perth Glory 34.92%

Draw 23.53%

Macarthur	Draw	Perth Glory
2-1 @ 8.76% 1-0 @ 7.04% 2-0 @ 5.83% 3-1 @ 4.83% 3-2 @ 3.63% 3-0 @ 3.22% 4-1 @ 2% 4-2 @ 1.5% 4-0 @ 1.33% Other @ 3.4% Total : 41.55%	1-1 @ 10.57% 2-2 @ 6.57% 0-0 @ 4.25% 3-3 @ 1.82% Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.53%	1-2 @ 7.94% 0-1 @ 6.39% 0-2 @ 4.79% 1-3 @ 3.97% 2-3 @ 3.29% 0-3 @ 2.4% 1-4 @ 1.49% 2-4 @ 1.24% 0-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.51% Total : 34.92%