Wellington

3 - 0

Perth Glory

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 42.52%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 33.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.68%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 1-2 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wellington Phoenix would win this match.