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Wellington Phoenix
Australian A-League | Gameweek 11
Mar 7, 2021 at 5.05am UK
WIN Stadium
Perth Glory

Wellington
3 - 0
Perth Glory

Piscopo (30'), Ball (35'), Waine (59')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Castro (37'), Stynes (54')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Perth Glory.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 42.52%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 33.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.68%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 1-2 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wellington Phoenix would win this match.

Result
Wellington PhoenixDrawPerth Glory
42.52%23.91%33.57%
Both teams to score 61.09%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.93%41.07%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.53%63.46%
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.42%19.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.5%51.5%
Perth Glory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.95%24.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.68%58.32%
Score Analysis
    Wellington Phoenix 42.52%
    Perth Glory 33.57%
    Draw 23.91%
Wellington PhoenixDrawPerth Glory
2-1 @ 8.92%
1-0 @ 7.68%
2-0 @ 6.26%
3-1 @ 4.85%
3-2 @ 3.46%
3-0 @ 3.4%
4-1 @ 1.98%
4-2 @ 1.41%
4-0 @ 1.39%
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 42.52%
1-1 @ 10.94%
2-2 @ 6.36%
0-0 @ 4.71%
3-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.91%
1-2 @ 7.8%
0-1 @ 6.71%
0-2 @ 4.78%
1-3 @ 3.7%
2-3 @ 3.02%
0-3 @ 2.27%
1-4 @ 1.32%
2-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 33.57%