Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 43.5%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 32.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Perth Glory | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 32.34% | 24.16% | 43.5% |
| Both teams to score 59.71% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.32% | 42.68% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.92% | 65.08% |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.47% | 25.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.61% | 60.39% |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.19% | 19.81% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.11% | 51.88% |
| Score Analysis |
| Perth Glory | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 2-1 @ 7.63% 1-0 @ 6.91% 2-0 @ 4.71% 3-1 @ 3.47% 3-2 @ 2.81% 3-0 @ 2.15% 4-1 @ 1.19% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.51% Total : 32.34% | 1-1 @ 11.18% 2-2 @ 6.18% 0-0 @ 5.06% 3-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.16% | 1-2 @ 9.05% 0-1 @ 8.19% 0-2 @ 6.63% 1-3 @ 4.88% 0-3 @ 3.58% 2-3 @ 3.33% 1-4 @ 1.98% 0-4 @ 1.45% 2-4 @ 1.35% Other @ 3.06% Total : 43.5% |