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Melbourne Victory
Australian A-League | Gameweek 12
Mar 13, 2021 at 8.10am UK
Marvel Stadium
Adelaide United

Victory
1 - 3
Adelaide United

Brimmer (28')
Brimmer (23'), Anderson (47'), Roux (54'), Broxham (68')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mauk (35', 77'), Yengi (62')
Lopez (20')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Adelaide United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 40.98%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.13%) and 0-2 (5.81%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.

Result
Melbourne VictoryDrawAdelaide United
35.35%23.67%40.98%
Both teams to score 62.47%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.53%39.47%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.19%61.81%
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.68%22.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.21%55.79%
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.41%19.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.48%51.52%
Score Analysis
    Melbourne Victory 35.35%
    Adelaide United 40.98%
    Draw 23.66%
Melbourne VictoryDrawAdelaide United
2-1 @ 8.02%
1-0 @ 6.56%
2-0 @ 4.92%
3-1 @ 4.01%
3-2 @ 3.27%
3-0 @ 2.46%
4-1 @ 1.5%
4-2 @ 1.23%
4-0 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 35.35%
1-1 @ 10.68%
2-2 @ 6.53%
0-0 @ 4.37%
3-3 @ 1.78%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.66%
1-2 @ 8.71%
0-1 @ 7.13%
0-2 @ 5.81%
1-3 @ 4.74%
2-3 @ 3.55%
0-3 @ 3.16%
1-4 @ 1.93%
2-4 @ 1.45%
0-4 @ 1.29%
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 40.98%

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