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Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
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Sydney FC
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Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Melbourne Victory
Australian A-League | Gameweek 12
Mar 13, 2021 at 8.10am UK
Marvel Stadium
Adelaide United

Victory
1 - 3
Adelaide United

Brimmer (28')
Brimmer (23'), Anderson (47'), Roux (54'), Broxham (68')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mauk (35', 77'), Yengi (62')
Lopez (20')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Adelaide United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 40.98%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.13%) and 0-2 (5.81%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.

Result
Melbourne VictoryDrawAdelaide United
35.35%23.67%40.98%
Both teams to score 62.47%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.53%39.47%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.19%61.81%
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.68%22.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.21%55.79%
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.41%19.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.48%51.52%
Score Analysis
    Melbourne Victory 35.35%
    Adelaide United 40.98%
    Draw 23.66%
Melbourne VictoryDrawAdelaide United
2-1 @ 8.02%
1-0 @ 6.56%
2-0 @ 4.92%
3-1 @ 4.01%
3-2 @ 3.27%
3-0 @ 2.46%
4-1 @ 1.5%
4-2 @ 1.23%
4-0 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 35.35%
1-1 @ 10.68%
2-2 @ 6.53%
0-0 @ 4.37%
3-3 @ 1.78%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.66%
1-2 @ 8.71%
0-1 @ 7.13%
0-2 @ 5.81%
1-3 @ 4.74%
2-3 @ 3.55%
0-3 @ 3.16%
1-4 @ 1.93%
2-4 @ 1.45%
0-4 @ 1.29%
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 40.98%

Head to Head
Jan 23, 2021 8.40am
Gameweek 2
Adelaide United
1-0
Victory
Toure (53')
Smith (63'), Juric (79'), D'Arrigo (89')

Brimmer (34'), Ryan (40'), Traore (47'), Kruse (82'), Broxham (83')
Feb 29, 2020 8.30am
Gameweek 21
Victory
2-1
Adelaide United
Rojas (57'), Nabbout (90')
Toivonen (14'), Thomas (33'), Broxham (51')
Fardal Opseth (7')
Jan 17, 2020 8.30am
Gameweek 15
Adelaide United
1-0
Victory
Halloran (32')
McGree (28')

Hope (83'), Donachie (93')
Nov 23, 2019 8.30am
Gameweek 7
Adelaide United
3-1
Victory
McGree (23', 68'), Basha (63' og.)
Strain (85')
Toivonen (61')
Toivonen (4')
Apr 19, 2019 10.50am
Gameweek 26
Adelaide United
1-0
Victory
Blackwood (81')

Deng (10'), Honda (33')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast25154644261849
2Wellington PhoenixWellington25147438251349
3Melbourne VictoryVictory251011440291141
4Sydney FCSydney FC2511594539638
5Macarthur2510874445-138
6Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney25104113943-434
7Melbourne CityMelbourne City25961047371033
8Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United2585124848029
9Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar2585123951-1229
10Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets2569103743-627
11Western UnitedWestern Utd2565143251-1923
12Perth GloryPerth Glory2557134258-1622


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