Australian A-League | Gameweek 9

Feb 21, 2021 at 5.05am UK

Docklands Stadium

Victory
0 - 1
Newcastle Jets

Roux (29')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Thurgate (72')
Boogaard (41'), Thurgate (56'), Millar (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Newcastle Jets, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 40.48%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 34.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle Jets would win this match.

Result
Melbourne Victory	Draw	Newcastle Jets
34.88%	24.63%	40.48%

Both teams to score 58.83%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.83%

44.17%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.45%

66.54%

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.25%

24.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.69%

59.31%

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.17%

21.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.96%

55.04%

Score Analysis

Melbourne Victory 34.88%

Newcastle Jets 40.48%

Draw 24.63%

Melbourne Victory	Draw	Newcastle Jets
2-1 @ 8.02% 1-0 @ 7.54% 2-0 @ 5.27% 3-1 @ 3.73% 3-2 @ 2.84% 3-0 @ 2.45% 4-1 @ 1.3% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.75% Total : 34.88%	1-1 @ 11.48% 2-2 @ 6.1% 0-0 @ 5.4% 3-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.63%	1-2 @ 8.74% 0-1 @ 8.22% 0-2 @ 6.26% 1-3 @ 4.43% 0-3 @ 3.18% 2-3 @ 3.1% 1-4 @ 1.69% 0-4 @ 1.21% 2-4 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.49% Total : 40.48%