Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 40.39%. A win for Western United had a probability of 34.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Western United win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Western United |
| 40.39% | 25.56% | 34.04% |
| Both teams to score 55.38% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.44% | 48.55% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.32% | 70.67% |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.21% | 23.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.05% | 57.95% |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.67% | 27.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.22% | 62.78% |
| Score Analysis |
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Western United |
| 1-0 @ 9.34% 2-1 @ 8.7% 2-0 @ 6.7% 3-1 @ 4.16% 3-0 @ 3.21% 3-2 @ 2.7% 4-1 @ 1.49% 4-0 @ 1.15% 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.98% Total : 40.39% | 1-1 @ 12.11% 0-0 @ 6.5% 2-2 @ 5.64% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.57% | 0-1 @ 8.43% 1-2 @ 7.86% 0-2 @ 5.47% 1-3 @ 3.4% 2-3 @ 2.44% 0-3 @ 2.37% 1-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.98% Total : 34.04% |