Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Newcastle Jets
Australian A-League | Gameweek 18
Apr 10, 2021 at 6.05am UK
Hunter Stadium
Melbourne Victory

Newcastle Jets
1 - 2
Victory

Stamatelopoulos (18')
Thurgate (66'), Abimanyu (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ryan (48'), Brooks (79')
Butterfield (63'), Lawrie-Lattanzio (81'), Lauton (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Newcastle Jets and Melbourne Victory, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 50.36%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 25.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 0-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle JetsDrawMelbourne Victory
50.36%24.58%25.06%
Both teams to score 53.21%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.07%48.92%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.98%71.01%
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.56%19.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.72%51.28%
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.05%33.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.37%70.63%
Score Analysis
    Newcastle Jets 50.36%
    Melbourne Victory 25.06%
    Draw 24.57%
Newcastle JetsDrawMelbourne Victory
1-0 @ 10.81%
2-1 @ 9.56%
2-0 @ 8.85%
3-1 @ 5.22%
3-0 @ 4.83%
3-2 @ 2.82%
4-1 @ 2.14%
4-0 @ 1.98%
4-2 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 50.36%
1-1 @ 11.67%
0-0 @ 6.6%
2-2 @ 5.17%
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.57%
0-1 @ 7.13%
1-2 @ 6.31%
0-2 @ 3.85%
1-3 @ 2.27%
2-3 @ 1.86%
0-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 25.06%