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Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
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Newcastle Jets
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Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Melbourne City
Australian A-League | Gameweek 26
May 9, 2021 at 7.05am UK
AAMI Park
Brisbane Roar
Melbourne City
3 - 2
Brisbane Roar
Metcalfe (14'), Trewin (17' og.), Galloway (73')
Reis (46'), Galloway (49'), Nabbout (86'), O'Neill (87')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Champness (28'), Gillesphey (38')
Daley (32')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Brisbane Roar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 60.71%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 19.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.41%) and 1-0 (7.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.92%), while for a Brisbane Roar win it was 1-2 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Melbourne CityDrawBrisbane Roar
60.71%19.98%19.32%
Both teams to score 60.99%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.05%34.96%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.06%56.94%
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.79%11.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.26%35.74%
Brisbane Roar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.69%31.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.33%67.67%
Score Analysis
    Melbourne City 60.71%
    Brisbane Roar 19.32%
    Draw 19.98%
Melbourne CityDrawBrisbane Roar
2-1 @ 9.76%
2-0 @ 8.41%
1-0 @ 7.68%
3-1 @ 7.12%
3-0 @ 6.13%
3-2 @ 4.13%
4-1 @ 3.9%
4-0 @ 3.36%
4-2 @ 2.26%
5-1 @ 1.71%
5-0 @ 1.47%
5-2 @ 0.99%
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 60.71%
1-1 @ 8.92%
2-2 @ 5.67%
0-0 @ 3.51%
3-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 19.98%
1-2 @ 5.18%
0-1 @ 4.08%
0-2 @ 2.37%
2-3 @ 2.19%
1-3 @ 2%
0-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 19.32%

How you voted: Melbourne City vs Brisbane Roar

Melbourne City
62.5%
Draw
25.0%
Brisbane Roar
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2020 8.05am
Gameweek 6
Brisbane Roar
0-1
Melbourne City

Hingert (48')
Metcalfe (52')
Luna (52')
Luna (69')
Mar 1, 2020 7.30am
Gameweek 21
Melbourne City
1-0
Brisbane Roar
Young (55' og.)
Luna (75')

Akbari (74')
Jan 11, 2020 6am
Gameweek 14
Brisbane Roar
2-2
Melbourne City
Inman (35', 45')
Aldred (76'), Hingert (80')
Noone (39'), Atkinson (48')
Jamieson (63')
Nov 17, 2019 5am
Gameweek 6
Brisbane Roar
4-3
Melbourne City
O'Donovan (50', 64' pen., 83' pen.), Amadi-Holloway (60')
McGing (33'), O'Donovan (52'), Wenzel-Halls (71'), O'Shea (85'), Mauk (88')
MacLaren (6', 29', 51')
Noone (56'), Griffiths (67'), Genreau (82'), Cabrera (84'), Galloway (94')
Apr 5, 2019 9.50am
Gameweek 24
Melbourne City
4-1
Brisbane Roar
Griffiths (27'), Harrison (59'), De Laet (70'), McGree (94')
De Laet (75')
Delbridge (54' og.)
rhs 2.0
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