Australian A-League | Gameweek 26

May 9, 2021 at 7.05am UK

AAMI Park

Melbourne City
3 - 2
Brisbane Roar

Metcalfe (14'), Trewin (17' og.), Galloway (73')
Reis (46'), Galloway (49'), Nabbout (86'), O'Neill (87')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Champness (28'), Gillesphey (38')
Daley (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Brisbane Roar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 60.71%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 19.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.41%) and 1-0 (7.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.92%), while for a Brisbane Roar win it was 1-2 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Melbourne City	Draw	Brisbane Roar
60.71%	19.98%	19.32%

Both teams to score 60.99%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.05%

34.96%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.06%

56.94%

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.79%

11.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.26%

35.74%

Brisbane Roar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.69%

31.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.33%

67.67%

Score Analysis

Melbourne City 60.71%

Brisbane Roar 19.32%

Draw 19.98%

Melbourne City	Draw	Brisbane Roar
2-1 @ 9.76% 2-0 @ 8.41% 1-0 @ 7.68% 3-1 @ 7.12% 3-0 @ 6.13% 3-2 @ 4.13% 4-1 @ 3.9% 4-0 @ 3.36% 4-2 @ 2.26% 5-1 @ 1.71% 5-0 @ 1.47% 5-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.8% Total : 60.71%	1-1 @ 8.92% 2-2 @ 5.67% 0-0 @ 3.51% 3-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 0.28% Total : 19.98%	1-2 @ 5.18% 0-1 @ 4.08% 0-2 @ 2.37% 2-3 @ 2.19% 1-3 @ 2% 0-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.59% Total : 19.32%