Australian A-League | Gameweek 16

May 5, 2021 at 12.20pm UK

Perth Oval

Perth Glory
1 - 3
Melbourne City

Ikonomidis (31')
Keogh (35'), Kilkenny (44'), Aspropotamitis (90+1'), Warland (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Bodnar (36' og.), MacLaren (45+1', 68')
Jamieson (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Australian A-League clash between Perth Glory and Melbourne City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 55.34%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 23.53% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.44%) and 0-1 (7.19%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Perth Glory	Draw	Melbourne City
23.53%	21.13%	55.34%

Both teams to score 63.34%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.24%

34.76%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.28%

56.72%

Perth Glory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.5%

27.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.99%

63.01%

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.37%

12.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.23%

38.77%

Score Analysis

Perth Glory 23.53%

Melbourne City 55.34%

Draw 21.13%

Perth Glory	Draw	Melbourne City
2-1 @ 5.99% 1-0 @ 4.49% 2-0 @ 2.9% 3-2 @ 2.67% 3-1 @ 2.58% 3-0 @ 1.25% Other @ 3.67% Total : 23.53%	1-1 @ 9.28% 2-2 @ 6.2% 0-0 @ 3.47% 3-3 @ 1.84% Other @ 0.34% Total : 21.13%	1-2 @ 9.6% 0-2 @ 7.44% 0-1 @ 7.19% 1-3 @ 6.62% 0-3 @ 5.13% 2-3 @ 4.27% 1-4 @ 3.42% 0-4 @ 2.65% 2-4 @ 2.21% 1-5 @ 1.42% 0-5 @ 1.1% 3-4 @ 0.95% 2-5 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.43% Total : 55.34%