Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 55.34%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 23.53% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.44%) and 0-1 (7.19%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
Result | ||
Perth Glory | Draw | Melbourne City |
23.53% | 21.13% | 55.34% |
Both teams to score 63.34% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.24% | 34.76% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.28% | 56.72% |
Perth Glory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.5% | 27.5% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.99% | 63.01% |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.37% | 12.63% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.23% | 38.77% |
Score Analysis |
Perth Glory | Draw | Melbourne City |
2-1 @ 5.99% 1-0 @ 4.49% 2-0 @ 2.9% 3-2 @ 2.67% 3-1 @ 2.58% 3-0 @ 1.25% Other @ 3.67% Total : 23.53% | 1-1 @ 9.28% 2-2 @ 6.2% 0-0 @ 3.47% 3-3 @ 1.84% Other @ 0.34% Total : 21.13% | 1-2 @ 9.6% 0-2 @ 7.44% 0-1 @ 7.19% 1-3 @ 6.62% 0-3 @ 5.13% 2-3 @ 4.27% 1-4 @ 3.42% 0-4 @ 2.65% 2-4 @ 2.21% 1-5 @ 1.42% 0-5 @ 1.1% 3-4 @ 0.95% 2-5 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.43% Total : 55.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 50 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 49 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 42 |
4 | Macarthur | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 41 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 38 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 36 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 34 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 32 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 30 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 22 |
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